Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.482300 2.874869 3.318345 3.858210 4.500037 5.241584 6.167405
2025-02-16 1.898883 2.409953 3.050822 3.921341 5.085033 6.604020 8.764883
2025-02-23 1.599003 2.155105 2.902504 3.996196 5.582331 7.840550 11.374861
2025-03-02 1.363147 1.924779 2.721595 3.958562 5.874370 8.803602 13.770479
2025-03-09 1.214795 1.785556 2.634280 4.022125 6.301451 10.019126 16.806648
2025-03-16 1.075643 1.635577 2.502131 3.983927 6.545067 10.967604 19.596145
2025-03-23 0.967257 1.516133 2.396675 3.964885 6.805710 11.978752 22.725206
2025-03-30 0.866969 1.395654 2.271130 3.887788 6.942660 12.780659 25.631156
2025-04-06 0.805665 1.331504 2.230049 3.950394 7.342572 14.152245 30.065800
2025-04-13 0.729562 1.232717 2.115639 3.858990 7.424724 14.895598 33.298830
2025-04-20 0.696542 1.205651 2.125356 4.004106 8.006449 16.804786 39.817553
2025-04-27 0.648523 1.145870 2.066969 4.004571 8.281189 18.088075 45.146812
2025-05-04 0.609479 1.105651 2.054476 4.127794 8.921218 20.545070 55.003099
2025-05-11 0.565002 1.051462 2.011150 4.187989 9.457642 22.973936 66.088513
2025-05-18 0.528259 1.007188 1.980504 4.268986 10.062073 25.764159 79.661702
2025-05-25 0.485398 0.944996 1.903356 4.228410 10.350355 27.780323 91.716983
2025-06-01 0.456332 0.907704 1.874250 4.296922 10.945126 30.888502 109.481200
2025-06-08 0.422353 0.855864 1.805811 4.255749 11.228315 33.141633 125.288732
2025-06-15 0.393504 0.811846 1.749284 4.235225 11.568671 35.708447 144.093198
2025-06-22 0.363711 0.762442 1.673920 4.152140 11.703688 37.634272 161.343394
2025-06-29 0.345827 0.738043 1.654981 4.219607 12.329180 41.566851 191.327664
2025-07-06 0.320373 0.693448 1.581279 4.121110 12.394458 43.424373 211.934049
2025-07-13 0.310456 0.684363 1.594918 4.277500 13.363861 49.278270 260.317220